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COMPLETED
NCT07562763

Estimation and Prediction of Individual Benefit From Postoperative Adjuvant Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization For Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Sponsor: Anhui Provincial Hospital

View on ClinicalTrials.gov

Summary

Adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is widely adopted in China for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), yet its efficacy remains inconsistent. We aimed to identify factors influencing individual patient benefit using causal machine learning. To this end, we retrospectively collected HCC patients with high risk factors for tumor recurrence from four centers of China, divided into the discovery cohort and the validation cohort . The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS). The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS).Individual treatment effects (ITEs) were estimated within a causal machine learning framework. An ITE \< 0 was considered recommendation for adjuvant TACE , while ITE ≥ 0 indicated active surveillance. The model would be validated in the validation cohort. The contribution of each variable to ITE was assessed using the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). An online calculator would be developed for future use by public.

Key Details

Gender

All

Age Range

18 Years - 85 Years

Study Type

OBSERVATIONAL

Enrollment

1005

Start Date

2018-01-01

Completion Date

2025-12-31

Last Updated

2026-07-09

Healthy Volunteers

No

Locations (1)

The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC

Hefei, Anhu, China